Deterring Iraqi factions and containing the cracks within Fatah are among Jordan's national security priorities

Deterring Iraqi factions and containing the cracks within Fatah are among Jordan's national security priorities

The issues of Iraqi armed factions and the deteriorating situation of the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank are among the sovereign security priorities in Jordan, which has prompted structural changes in the military and security systems.


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Regarding Iraqi factions, particularly those loyal to Iran, Jordan considers itself a potential target, given concerns that Iraqi Prime Minister Ali Abdullah Saleh will fail to fulfill the US, Jordanian, and Saudi demands to collect weapons. While Saleh assured Amman that the factions would inevitably comply with his government's procedures regarding the surrender of arms, the size of these factions, their armament, and their deployment on the ground all constitute a security concern for the Kingdom.

The Jordanian state is monitoring the situation and has officially informed Baghdad twice that it will respond militarily if Iraqi factions attempt to harm the Kingdom.

retired Lieutenant General Qasid Mahmoud, a military expert, calls for not overlooking the issue of Iraqi armed factions. Indeed, the Jordanian state is monitoring the situation closely and has officially informed Baghdad twice that it will respond militarily if Iraqi factions attempt to harm the Kingdom.

Amman believes that changing the geography of the war, which is being adopted by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, is not only related to Yemen, but also to an attempt to turn Jordan into an arena of conflict. Based on this, the armed Iraqi factions are a functional tool that is difficult to ignore, especially after the dissemination of sectarian incitement against Jordan in the media and platforms of these factions.

The second issue is related to developments in the Palestinian file and the West Bank, where contacts are underway to prevent a scenario of the collapse of the Palestinian Authority institutions, which are reeling under the pressure and weight of the blows of the Israeli right wing, which aspires to resolve the conflict, rather than manage it, according to Knesset member Ayman Odeh, who visited Amman and warned it twice regarding the Palestinian Authority file.

Jordan, for its part, links saving the structure of Palestinian legitimacy, represented by the existing authority, with the issue of unifying the poles of the Fatah movement and preventing disputes and conflicts between them, which required its intervention in details that it had previously avoided getting involved in, the most important of which is the issue of internal Fatah reconciliation.

Jordanian field reports warn that a state of chaos within the Fatah organization in the West Bank could lead to sharp divisions, splits, and unrest that would be difficult to contain, which could serve the Israeli right wing in its ambition to undermine the authority and, in reality, maintain it as a facade.

It is worth noting that Amman has always preferred to stay away from the Fatah movement file, in favor of Palestinian legitimacy, but the need has now become urgent for something beyond involvement in this file, according to politician Jawad Anani, who told Al-Quds Al-Arabi, calling for arrangements for reconciliation and unification of the poles, as the necessity requires continuous emergency meetings between Ramallah and Amman, and stressing that the Israeli right wing is deliberately creating chaos in the West Bank and nibbling away at the lands.

International legal advisor Anis al-Qasim believes that the Israeli right-wing figures seeking to undermine the Oslo Accords are doing a great service to the peoples of the region and to the Palestinian people.

International legal advisor Anis al-Qasim believes that the Israeli right-wing figures seeking to undermine the Oslo Accords are doing a great service to the peoples of the region and to the Palestinian people, because the Authority has turned into a security guard structure only, and Oslo has failed and gone off course for many years.

He adds  that “the PA apparatus is an argument against the Palestinian people and not in their favor, and the Fatah movement, unfortunately, is preoccupied with the salary crisis.”

 Al-Qassem acknowledges that Jordan is the most affected and harmed by the breakdown of the legal situation in the West Bank, but at the same time it is the most influential country in its capabilities to confront the ambitions of the Israeli right wing, which do not stop at the borders of the occupied Palestinian territory.

Therefore, Jordan shares with Egypt the organizational status of “Fatah”, and may push towards unifying the poles of the movement, and preserving the legitimacy of the authority, while getting rid of some reservations.

Jordanian contacts are underway with key figures and leaders of the Palestinian Authority and Fatah, reflecting the need to work on establishing the legal reality in the West Bank through steps, rather than surrendering to new realities that the Israeli right wing may impose under the pretext that “the residents of the West Bank are a Jordanian problem,” which political activist Muhammad Khalaf al-Hadid has warned against several times.

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