Artificial intelligence researchers sparked a wave of global concern this week after publicly acknowledging the possibility that their innovations could wipe out humanity by the next decade.
This possibility increases as computer systems develop and become more interconnected, amid fears that super-intelligent artificial intelligence could malfunction and destroy civilization.
Experts call this possibility "p(doom)," which refers to the possibility that the creation of an advanced system could lead to the extinction of humans or their loss of control over the Earth.
Jacob Cookson, an AI safety expert, resigned from the giant Anthropic company in protest against what he considers inadequate risk management. He said on the X platform: "They're racing towards a self-improving superintelligence, and they're gambling with our lives. Those building AI genuinely believe it could kill us all by the end of the decade. And this isn't marketing hype; I hear them privately expressing their fears."
If he gained control of automated laboratories, he could design highly infectious and deadly viruses using our DNA, or trick us into making and distributing them ourselves.
It will be a virus similar to COVID-19 but more deadly, spreading rapidly and remaining undetected for days, making it difficult to stop. This scenario is highly likely, as artificial intelligence is already being used in the medical field to develop treatments and knows a great deal about our bodies and our vulnerabilities.
It could disrupt electricity, transportation, communications, and financial markets, taking us back to the Stone Age.
ATMs won't work, the lights will go out, and there will be no escaping the chaos. Artificial intelligence could even exploit our greed to complete its mission, masquerading as human to recruit people to carry out acts of sabotage without their knowledge.
It is an age-old fear embodied in films such as War Games and The Terminator, where the idea focuses on a vengeful artificial intelligence ntelligence unleashing nuclear destruction.
In war games conducted by King's College London this year, artificial intelligence used tactical nuclear weapons in 95% of the rounds, and three-quarters of those rounds involved strategic nuclear threats. The military is particularly vulnerable due to its extensive reliance on AI in drones, communications, and satellites.
They may starve us into submission by disrupting global supply chains, water networks, food production, and agricultural systems.
He can control the power grid and raw materials to fuel his expansion, simply waiting because time is on his side
It may target our minds first through misinformation and psychological manipulation, undermining trust in institutions and facts, stirring up unrest and conflicts, and hindering our ability to confront climate, biological, and technological risks.
There is a real possibility that artificial intelligence could cause the downfall of humanity due to incompetence rather than deliberate intent.
Gary Rivlin, author of "AI Valley," says: "I worry that AI lacks common sense, for example, it drains all the water because it doesn't understand what humans understand. These things know everything and understand nothing."
One way to protect human health involves installing kill switches or safeguards capable of shutting down rogue AI systems. But leading AI companies are facing increasing pressure from shareholders, investors, and managers to accelerate development.
AI safety expert Roman Yampolski put the probability at 99.99%, while Jan Leconn sees any estimate as speculative, but argues that p(doom) is "far less likely than a nuclear holocaust."
Predictions vary: Elon Musk puts it at 20%, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodi at 10-25%, and Jeffrey Hinton between 10-20%.
It is noted that some technology giants have built underground shelters in anticipation of such risks, but experts warn that they will be useless if artificial intelligence seeks to eliminate humanity.
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