Armenia is dissatisfied with the course of peace talks with Azerbaijan and is trying to abort them

A report by Cavad and Leif, a doctor at the Center for Analysis of International Relations, said that Armenia is dissatisfied with the course of peace talks with Azerbaijan and is trying to abort them, noting at the same time that Azerbaijan has proposed to Armenia five main principles for negotiating a final peace agreement.

An analysis prepared by the Doctor at the Center for Analysis of International Relations, Jawed and Leif, touched on the repeated attacks of Armenia on the territory of Azerbaijan, stressing that Privian is dissatisfied with the course of peace talks with Baku and wants to thwart it.

The analysis published by Anadolu Agency said that 77 Azerbaijani soldiers and 135 Armenian soldiers lost their lives as a result of the Armenian attacks on Azerbaijan's borders, between 12 and 14 September.

According to the report, the Azerbaijani Ministries of Defense and Foreign Affairs attributed, through their statements, the reasons for the renewed clashes for two reasons, the first is the violation of the ceasefire by the Armenian side, and the outcomes of the Brussels meeting on August 31 last.

The second reason, according to the report, is the infiltration of Armenian forces into Azerbaijani territory on the night of September 13, planting mines and attacking Azerbaijani positions with heavy weapons.

Armenia Aborts Peace

After the mediation of the President of the European Council Charles Michel, and the fourth Brussels meeting between the President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev and the Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan, on August 31, hopes increased that a final peace agreement could be signed between the two parties.

Here it must be noted that preparing the texts of the peace agreement from Azerbaijan and Armenia within one month and announcing another meeting in Brussels next November, was one of the most important decisions of the aforementioned Brussels meeting.

In this context, the Azerbaijani President talked about the possibility of signing a final peace agreement between the two parties in November, if Armenia fulfills the required conditions. As a sign of goodwill, the Azerbaijani side handed over 5 of its soldiers to Armenia after the Brussels meeting. Accordingly, the Armenian aggression against Azerbaijan was a surprise in light of the progress witnessed by the peace talks between the two countries.

The report pointed out that, however, Armenia began working to abort the positive peace talks a few days after the Brussels meeting, for example, on September 2, the Prime Minister of Armenia published a message on the occasion of the so-called independence anniversary of the "Karabakh government" founded by Armenia. during its occupation of Azerbaijani lands.

After that, the head of the Armenian National Security Council, Armen Grigoryan, went to Karabakh, where the Russian peacekeeping forces are located, in a move aimed primarily at precipitating the peace negotiations.

Here, we can say, according to Lyev, that the main reason for these steps was Armenia's dissatisfaction with the course of the ongoing peace talks. After the 2020 war, the two countries walked the path of the peace process and the normalization of bilateral relations, first through Moscow and then Brussels.

The statements and demands made by Baku during those talks were more consistent and oriented towards achieving peace, as Azerbaijani President Aliyev suggested signing a permanent peace agreement between the two parties.

In February 2022, Azerbaijan proposed to Armenia five main principles for negotiating a final peace agreement: mutual recognition of the territorial integrity of the two states, no claim of territory by either state from the other, non-use of force to resolve disputes, opening of communication and transportation lines, and the establishment of Diplomatic relations with border demarcation.

The principles proposed by Azerbaijan did not satisfy Armenia. For example, Nikol Pashinyan announced that Yerevan would not give a corridor to Baku (Zankazor Pass) and would not recognize Karabakh as Azerbaijani lands, in an attempt to mobilize support and gain the support of the Armenian street and not sign a peace agreement under the circumstances. The current situation and work to wait for a change in the geopolitical situation in the region.

Indeed, to date, Armenia has been appearing as a participant in the ongoing diplomatic negotiations, yet at the same time it is trying to delay any signing of a final agreement and its political leaders making contradictory statements about the ongoing peace talks. In short, the recent attack launched by Armenia comes in this context as part of the efforts to derail the peace talks.

On the other hand, countries that defended Armenia's arguments were excluded from the Moscow and Brussels negotiations. For example, the United States and France were not included in these negotiations, while Washington appointed a representative to the "Minsk Group", which Azerbaijan does not accept at all, and US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Armenia, and from there launched messages of support For Armenian ambitions in Azerbaijan.

This also comes in parallel with Iran's continued efforts to sell armed drones to Armenia, and all these steps can be considered as explicit support for Armenia not to sign a peace agreement and to continue its aggressions against Azerbaijan.

Armenia is back with hidden longing

What happened after the recent Armenian attacks against Azerbaijan showed that Yerevan was ready for this attack and that it was pre-arranged for this operation, according to the report.

After the Armenian attack, Pashinyan immediately contacted the authorities of the countries whose support he could obtain, especially the United States, France, Iran and Russia.

Those contacts resulted in statements supporting Yerevan's position from US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi, his Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian, and French President Emmanuel Macron. Azerbaijan's positions were supported by Turkey, the Organization of Turkish States and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation.

In this context, Armenia submitted a request to the United Nations Security Council and the Collective Security Treaty Organization, and was able, with the support of France, to present its vision to the Security Council between 14-15 September, but it returned with nostalgia and was unable to achieve the desired result.

The UN Security Council did not take a specific decision and none of its members, with the exception of France, made any statements in support of the Armenian vision.